Tuition math — why it's scarier than it looks
Tuition has grown roughly 4.5% per year since 2000. That's above general inflation and above wage growth.
Compounded over 18 years, a $30k sticker today becomes ~$66k. Over a 4-year degree, you're looking at $250–280k for in-state public, and $700k+ for private.
How a 529 actually works
Contributions are after-tax federal (no federal deduction), but ~30 states give a state-tax deduction. Growth is tax-free. Withdrawals are tax-free for qualified education expenses.
A 529 in a parent's name is one of the best tax-advantaged accounts that exists — the math approaches Roth IRA territory once you account for state-tax deduction and tax-free growth.
How much to actually save
Targeting 100% of in-state public is a strong goal for most families. That's roughly $300–500/month per child, started at birth, in a 529 with equity-heavy allocation.
If you start later or want private as a fallback, the number scales up — $700–1,000/month for full private coverage from year 1.
When a 529 isn't enough
If you're maxing the 529 and still short, the realistic backstops are: student loans (federal first), work-study, scholarships, current-income contribution during college years, and a 401(k) or HELOC borrow.
Avoid raiding your own retirement savings — your child can borrow for college; you can't borrow for retirement.
Common college-savings mistakes
- Saving in your own name (UTMA) instead of a 529.
- Targeting 100% of private costs by default.
- Skipping the state-tax deduction by using an out-of-state 529.
- Holding cash in the 529 instead of investing.
- Forgetting that scholarships and grants reduce qualified expenses (and may trigger penalty).